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Fall 2025 Car Market Forecast: Your Guide to New & Used Car Prices, Inventory, and Deals

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Should You Buy a Car in Fall 2025? Here’s What the Market Data Says

With new car inventory stabilizing and used car prices remaining stubborn, navigating the Fall 2025 market requires a clear strategy. We break down the latest trends so you can decide if now is the right time to buy.

Video by CarEdge, a consumer advocacy channel focused on car buying and ownership.

4 key moments5 takeaways

Key Moments

Carvia Insight

Where to Find New Car Deals

Carvia InsightYour best negotiating leverage is with brands that have an oversupply of cars. Focus your search on brands like Dodge, Ram, Alfa Romeo, and Maserati, as well as on leftover 2024 models that dealers are desperate to move off their lots.

The Used Car Squeeze

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Carvia InsightThe used car market is a seller's game right now. A shortage of affordable vehicles under $20,000 means less room for negotiation. Expect higher-than-average mileage (over 70,000 miles is the new normal) and be prepared for a competitive search.

Leasing's Comeback

Carvia InsightAs high prices and interest rates push monthly payments up, leasing is becoming a more attractive option. Manufacturers are using lease incentives, especially on EVs, to hit affordability targets for buyers who are budget-conscious.

The Pain of High APRs

Carvia InsightInterest rates are a massive factor in your total cost. With average used car APRs over 14% and new cars over 9%, the loan can add thousands to your purchase. **Always get pre-approved financing from a bank or credit union** before stepping into a dealership to have a competitive offer in hand.

Carvia Takeaways

Carvia Insight

**Hunt for overstocked brands.** Your best chance for a deal on a new car is with automakers like Stellantis (Dodge, Ram, Chrysler) and Ford, who have excess inventory.

**Don't overlook leftover 2024 models.** Dealers need to clear out last year's stock, creating significant discount opportunities if you're not set on the latest model year.

**Brace for a tough used car market.** Affordable used cars are scarce, prices are high, and average mileage is climbing. This is a seller's market, so negotiation leverage is limited.

**Secure your own financing first.** With average APRs painfully high (9%+ for new, 14%+ for used), getting pre-approved from your bank gives you a powerful tool to fight dealership rate markups.

**Consider leasing to control your monthly payment.** If affordability is your main concern, strong lease incentives—especially on EVs—can offer a path to a new car without a crippling monthly loan payment.

Model-Year Watchouts

Carvia Insight

Leftover 2024 Models (2024)

Watchouts

These are a great source of discounts, as dealers are highly motivated to sell them before year-end.
Ensure the discount is substantial enough to offset the immediate depreciation of buying a year-old 'new' car.
Incentives may be different than those for 2025 models, so compare offers carefully.

History to Verify

Confirm the vehicle has not been used as a demo or loaner, which would add miles and wear.
Check the in-service date, as this starts the warranty clock.

Pre-Purchase Checks

Inspect for 'lot rot'—check tire condition and battery health, as the car may have been sitting for months.
Look for any cosmetic damage from being stored on the dealer lot.

How to Verify in a Carvia Report

Title brands and ownership history
Odometer readings over time
Accident chronology and damage reports
Service intervals and maintenance records

Check this VIN with a Carvia report

More Guides

Not sure what to look for? Our report flags title issues, mileage anomalies, prior damage, and more—before you buy.

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Topics & Tags

car market updateused car pricesnew car inventoryauto loanscar buying adviceleasing vs buyingToyotaHondaStellantisFordMaseratiAlfa RomeoDodge

Carvia.ai has no formal relationship with the video creator. All analysis and insights are independently generated by our editorial engine based on the publicly available video.

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